Cedi to stabilise by 2nd quarter – Economist

Some economists are predicting further stability of the Cedi in the second quarter of this year.

The economists believe the various measures put in place by government which includes the IMF review and investor confidence will ensure a stable currency.

“The next IMF review is likely to be positive, that will also inject some good news into the economy and help generate market confidence and unlock donor inflows into the economy. With a change in government and the  goodwill that comes with Akufo-Addo’s government, we  expect that donor partners will respond with the appropriate measure, with some level of inflows into the economy, the next tranche of the IMF money should also help.” Economist Professor Godfred Bokpin said.

The cedi saw some depreciation during the first quarter of this year.

Latest figures by the Bank of Ghana also showed that the cedi’s depreciation against the dollar for March 2017, was five times more than the rate of depreciation recorded in the same period in 2016 thus from  0.9 to 5 percent.

In March 2017, the local currency depreciated by 7.5 and 8 percent to the British Pound and the Euro respectively.

In an interview with Citi Business News, Professor Bokpin was optimistic the cedi will gain some stability.

“I expect the stability to continue. I think that a significant stability of the cedi is sustainable. In fact beyond that, it is not even sustainable for our economy itself in terms of the competitiveness of our economy,” he said.

Counting on the cocoa syndicated loan that may be raised soon, Professor Bokpin was of the view that the inflow will further help to stabilise the cedi.

“Beyond that government will soon begin negotiating in terms of the net syndicated cocoa loan and others so probably, speculators will have to take a slip in a bit and then wait and see what happens. But at least some level of stability should be anticipated,” he explained.


Source: CitiBusinessNews

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